Wall Street Expects 29.6% Q3 Earnings Growth: Can AI Stocks Deliver?
Wall Street expects S&P 500 earnings to grow 29.6% in the third quarter (Q3). An investment panel from CNBC says guidance from AI-linked tech giants, not that figure, may decide whether the rally holds. Q3 earnings face a high bar, as FactSet data show growth topping estimates in 37 of the past 40 quarters. An in-line report could therefore disappoint. Sponsored Sponsored Are Q3 Earnings Already Priced In? One panelist expects the numbers to land roughly as forecast. FactSet shows analysts raised Q3 estimates by 1.4% during the quarter. In contrast, estimates have typically fallen 2.5% during a quarter over the past decade. So far, 84% of the 19 S&P 500 companies that had reported by Oct. 9 beat estimates. However, the panelist said guidance is the real test. FactSet projects 15.8% earnings growth for 2027, down from 32.7% in 2026, according to its Earnings Insight report. Companies have already guided higher. A record 72 S&P 500 firms issued positive Q3 earnings guidance, and 44 of them are technology companies. One panelist said market reaction may outweigh the data, pointing to Nvidia, whose shares have at times lagged strong results. Sponsored Sponsored Meanwhile, another panelist said over half of S&P 500 stocks sit below their 200-day averages. Will AI Spending Keep Holding Up








