Asian Stocks Slide on Bond Stress: Will Safe Havens BTC and Gold Keep Rallying?

摘要:Asian equities were headed for weekly losses as persistent Treasury yield pressure hit risk appetite, while Bitcoin and gold rallied as safe havens. Japan‘s Nikkei fell 0.8% Friday, extending its weekly drop to 4.4%, with South Korea and Taiwan also ending lower. Rising yields—30-year at 5.25%, 10-year at 4.71%—reflected concerns over a U.S. deficit above 6% of GDP and interest payments topping $1.2 trillion. Brent crude touched a one-month high before easing. Bitcoin traded near $74,300, and gold held near $4,513 an ounce, buoyed by debasement fears and weak-dollar hedging. Wall Street also fell, with the Dow down 703 points and the S&P 500 off 1.9% for the week. Nvidia’s results next week may determine whether the flight to safety continues.

Most Asian share indices are headed for weekly losses as bond market stress persists. However, Bitcoin (BTC) and gold both rallied as investors reached for safe havens instead.

The moves reflect a broader flight from risk. Rising Treasury yields have hit stocks in Asia and the US this week. Traders are turning to assets seen as stores of value.

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Asian Markets Buckle on Bond Stress

Japan‘s Nikkei dropped 0.8% to open Friday’s trading. That extended its weekly loss to 4.4% before clawing a little back.

The Nikkei is down, mirroring US indexes. Image Source: Trading View

South Korea and Taiwan edged higher Friday. Both still finished the week lower, after a sharp Kospi sidecar halt earlier in the week. The broader MSCI Asia-Pacific index outside Japan managed only a 0.5% gain.

The sell-off traces back to US Treasury yields. They resumed climbing this week after a brief pause. The 30-year yield rose to 5.25%, and the 10-year hit 4.71%.

Secretary Scott Bessent said the government could expand bond repurchases. He also floated fiscal consolidation. Analysts doubt Washington can find enough spending cuts to narrow the deficit.

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The deficit is running above 6% of GDP. Interest payments alone are set to top $1.2 trillion this year.

“Historically, markets have pushed back when they believe fundamentals, like record debt level and historically large deficits, are on their side, and further interventions could become too costly to bear.”

Deutsche Bank strategist Steven Zeng said.

Brent crude added to the regional pressure. It touched a one-month high of $94.71 a barrel. Prices eased to $93.12 after toughened US sanctions threats against Iran.

Bitcoin and Gold Rally as Safe Havens

While Asian equities struggled, Bitcoin and gold moved the other way. Bitcoin traded near $74,300 Friday, after touching an intraday high of $75,500.

Bitcoin is aligning with gold as a safe haven asset currently. Image Source: BeInCrypto

Gold held near $4,513 an ounce, up 3.1% for the week. Treasury‘s expanded buyback plans fed a debasement narrative. That has already pushed JPMorgan’s $5,000 gold target into view.

That backdrop has revived the case for Bitcoin as a weaker-dollar hedge. VanEck strategists are among those pointing to the recent strength as evidence.

Wall Street felt the same bond stress. US stocks fell hard on Thursday once the buyback relief faded. The Dow dropped 703 points, and Walmart fell 9% on soft US sales.

The S&P 500 was down 1.9% for the week through Thursday. The Nasdaq fell 2.5%. Futures pointed modestly higher Friday.

Nvidia‘s results next week stand as the next test for the AI trade. The same risk appetite has also lifted Bitcoin’s price rally this month.

The dollar index is down almost 0.9% for the week, near a three-month low. The question for Asian investors is whether Bitcoin and gold keep working as a hedge. Or whether a Nvidia-driven swing on Wall Street drags every asset down together.

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