Blockchain.com Seeks Approval for US Prediction Markets and Crypto Derivatives

In briefBlockchain.com has applied to the CFTC for two licenses—a designated contract market and a futures commission merchant—to offer event contracts and crypto derivatives to U.S. retail and institutional customers.The move would bring in-house what it now offers abroad through Polymarket and Hyperliquid.It joins a crowded federal-license rush, as the CFTC asserts authority amid state gambling suits and a Supreme Court fight.  Blockchain.com is making a bid to join the U.S. prediction-market boom, telling CNBC it has applied to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for licenses to offer event contracts and cryptocurrency derivatives to American customers.  The crypto platform filed for two designations, the company told CNBC: a designated contract market license, which would let it operate as a futures exchange for event contracts, and a futures commission merchant license, which would allow it to act as a broker for derivatives.  Myriad: When will Polymarket launch its token? Click to make your prediction.  Together, the approvals would let Blockchain.com run its own regulated marketplace serving both retail and institutional traders in the U.S.  The move would bring in-house what the company currently offers only through partners abroad. Blockchain.com began providing prediction markets to some international customers this year via a partnership with Polymarket, along with

کل 02:06انڈسٹری

Ethereums proposed safety checks could still let a bad trade through

A correctly signed Ethereum transaction can still deliver a financial result its user would never have accepted under a meaningful loss limit. Ethereum Foundation research published Oct. 5 examines how Ethereum transaction assertions could enforce rules over the outcome, widening the checks available to wallets and protocols.  Related Asset Ethereum #2 ETH · $2,486.11 24-hour change: up 2.97% Loading price history… 24H Up 2.97% 7D Down 7.37% 30D Down 0.30%  The decisive question is who supplies those rules and whether the app or service assembling the transaction can weaken them. A check can measure what happened and reject a result below a minimum, yet offer little financial protection if the same transaction builder chooses a permissive minimum.  As of Oct. 9, EIP-7906 remains a draft. It was created Feb. 21, 2025, and depends on EIP-8141s frame transactions. The Hegotá upgrade record lists EIP-8141 as scheduled for inclusion and EIP-7906 as considered for inclusion.  Related Company Ethereum Foundation Promotes and supports the Ethereum platform  Ethereum already enforces some financial limits  Uniswap v3 has a concrete safeguard today. Its swap router rejects an exact-input swap when the amount received is below the minimum receipt, amountOutMinimum. For an exact-output swap, it rejects spending above the maximum input, amountInMaximum. These

کل 02:00انڈسٹری

Coinbase stock target raised to $258 by Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley has raised its Coinbase stock price target from $250 to $258 ahead of earnings while retaining an Equal Weight rating, placing its forecast 50% above the shares previous $172 close.  SummaryMorgan Stanley increased its Coinbase target by $8 without changing its Equal Weight recommendation.Citizens JMP lowered its target to $280 from $325 but retained a Market Outperform rating.Coinbase reported second-quarter revenue of $1.22 billion, down 18.5% from a year earlier.The company has expanded derivatives and stock products while facing state challenges over prediction markets.  Morgan Stanley kept its existing recommendation as part of an earnings preview covering brokers, exchanges and capital markets infrastructure companies, The Fly reported on Oct. 9. The revised target represents a 3.2% increase from its earlier forecast.  The bank had started covering Coinbase on Sep. 10 with a $250 target and an Equal Weight rating, according to MarketBeat. Its latest update raises the expected share value while leaving the investment recommendation unchanged.  Coinbase targets move in opposite directions before earnings  On the same day, Citizens JMP reduced its Coinbase target by $45 to $280, retaining a Market Outperform rating. Against the reported $172 share price, its revised forecast implies approximately 62.8% upside, according to MarketBeat.  Citizens linked the reduction to

کل 01:50انڈسٹری

Bitcoin Price Bounces Back to $83K as Crypto Market Liquidations Cool

Bitcoin briefly reclaimed $83,000 on Friday after plunging to a month-to-date low of $80,308 on Thursday, pushing its market cap back to $1.66 trillion.  Key TakeawaysBitcoin briefly reclaimed $83,000 on Friday after plunging to a month-to-date low of $80,308 on Thursday.Over $700 million in spot bitcoin ETF outflows this week dampened expectations for a record-setting October.Bitunix analysts believe BTC must hold above $82,800 to reach $85,000 or risk dropping toward $77,000.  Resistance at $83,000 Triggers Volatile Trading  Bitcoin rebounded Friday to briefly reclaim $83,000, signaling a potential end to a downturn that dragged the cryptocurrency to multi-week lows. The decline, fueled by more than $700 million in spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows this week, dampened analyst expectations for a record-setting October.  Market data shows that immediately after plunging to a month-to-date low of $80,308 just after midday Thursday, the cryptocurrencys price reversed course, climbing all the way to $81,400 by 2:35 p.m. ET. The price then slowly rose to reach $82,500 by Friday morning before taking just 15 minutes to land just above $83,400 a few minutes before 8 a.m.  Since then, the price has seesawed around $83,000 resistance, as every sharp rally met an equally swift sell-off. By 1:30 p.m. ET, bitcoin hovered

کل 01:41انڈسٹری

HSBC, Ant Digital test AI-agent payments using tokenized deposits

British banking giant HSBC and Ant Digital Technologies have tested a system that lets AI agents access digital services and make micropayments using tokenized bank deposits, with transactions settled in real time on a blockchain testnet.  According to Friday‘s announcement, the test combined HSBC’s Tokenised Deposit Service with Ant Digitals Anvita Flow network, which enables AI agents to find and use services, and Jovay Testnet, a layer-2 blockchain testing environment.  HSBC provided settlement capabilities and real-time risk checks, while Ant Digitals network coordinated service access and payments. The demonstration showed an AI agent selecting a digital service and completing a payment. The companies described the transactions as micropayments, typically defined as less than $2.  The companies said the test was limited to technical verification and did not represent a commercial launch or live customer offering.  Related: Sui tunnels hit 40.6M TPS in live AI agent test  Banks experiment with AI-agent payments  HSBC is among several banks testing how AI agents could initiate financial transactions on customers behalf.  In March, Spanish banking giant Santander completed an AI-agent-initiated payment using Mastercard‘s Agent Pay infrastructure in a controlled test involving the bank’s live payment systems.  Swiss digital asset bank Sygnum followed in May with a test of AI-agent-driven transactions on a

کل 01:38انڈسٹری

Bitcoin beats gold and stocks with 633% real return, study finds

Bitcoin has topped Taurexs October 2026 comparison of 10 investment assets with a reported 633.2% inflation-adjusted return, ahead of silver, U.S. stocks and gold.  SummaryBitcoin ranked first with a 633.2% real return despite a reported 25% annual decline.Silver returned 60.7% after inflation, followed by the S rather, both asset classes are facing a simultaneous decline in demand,” JPMorgan said.  Silver and U.S. stocks finish ahead of gold  Among the traditional investments assessed, Taurex ranked silver above both gold and the S&P 500. The metals 60.7% cumulative real return came with a reported real annual growth rate of 9.9%.  For gold, the study listed a 55.5% cumulative real return and 9.2% annualized growth after inflation. In its investment example, the platform said $10,000 invested in gold at the starting point would have purchasing power equivalent to about $15,500 in 2020 dollars.  With dividends included, the S&P 500 delivered a 57.3% real total return and a 9.5% real annual growth rate in the comparison. Taurex‘s accompanying account put the index’s nominal cumulative gain at approximately 96%.  Over the five calendar years discussed in the report, the platform said U.S. shares rose in four, including gains of about 29% in 2021 and 25% in 2024. The report identified 2022

کل 01:38انڈسٹری

Bitcoin Rebounds After Rough Week, But Traders Are Pricing In More Downside

In briefBitcoin rebounded 1.38% to $82,837 on Friday after dipping to $80,427 on Thursday, while total crypto market cap rose 2% to $2.8 trillion and the Fear s ETF tracker.  Bitcoin trades around $82,837 on Friday, up 1.38% on the day, after dipping to $80,427 on Thursday, its lowest level since early September.  Bitcoin ETF flows. Image: Decrypt  The daily candle opened at $81,711 and has ranged between $81,553 and $83,443. On the four-hour chart, price still trades below the 50-period exponential moving average, so the short-term trend has not turned.  Myriad, a prediction market owned by Decrypts parent company Dastan, gives a 67% chance that Bitcoin trades at or below $80,000 at some point in October, with 40% odds for $77,500 and 24% for $75,000.  Bitcoin price data. Image: Tradingview  A separate weekly market put 49% odds on Bitcoin finishing the week above $87,500 so traders expect a month of price compression with some space for further downside.  The Average Directional Index, or ADX, which measures trend strength regardless of direction, reads 37.9 on the daily chart, well above the 25 level that confirms a real trend. The directional lines show buyers (DI+) above sellers (DI-), so the trend is still bullish even after the pullback.  The

کل 01:36انڈسٹری

Binance Founder CZ Urges Wallet 'Quarantine' After $86 Million Ledger Reseller Hack

Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) urged crypto investors to impose a strict “quarantine” period on new hardware wallets. The warning came amid an incident in Southeast Asia in which users lost more than $86 million after a local Ledger distributor was compromised.  Events this fall have exposed a new vulnerability in the industry: hackers have shifted their focus from exploiting digital bugs to physically intercepting devices during delivery.  Binance founder CZ shares a security tip on wallet quarantine, Source: CZ via X.com  Commenting on the risks, Changpeng Zhao recommended against transferring large amounts of assets to new addresses immediately after purchasing a device or downloading software.  In his view, the wallet should remain unused for at least a couple of weeks. During this period, investors should closely monitor relevant news for reports of potential hacking attacks.  CZ reminded users that self-custody of digital assets always carries additional responsibility that cannot be ignored. He emphasized that, in todays environment, physical devices can be modified before they reach the end customer, while the official website of any software can be hacked.  Such a preventive timeout gives users a window of opportunity: if a batch of devices arrives at a reseller already compromised, on-chain analysts will have two weeks

کل 01:26انڈسٹری

Ethereum open interest rose 2.3% in ETH on Binance as its dollar value fell 6.6%

Ethereum open interest in Binances ETHUSDT futures contract was 2.27% higher in ETH on Thursday, Oct. 8, over the last 48 hours, even though its USDT-denominated value had fallen 6.58%.  Related Asset Ethereum #2 ETH · $2,490.03 24-hour change: up 3.29% Loading price history… 24H Up 3.29% 7D Down 7.41% 30D Down 0.19%  Open interest measures outstanding futures exposure. For traders assessing exposure remaining through the price decline, coin quantity separates changes in that exposure from changes in its valuation.  Bitcoin‘s futures book provided a different version of the same distinction. Over those matched timestamps, Binance’s BTCUSDT open interest fell 1.45% in BTC units, compared with a 5.97% decline in USDT value. Most of that value decline came from repricing under the accounting method used below.  Related Company Binance Global crypto exchange  The common Oct. 6 starting point captures earlier growth as well as Thursdays contraction. Both open-interest quantities contracted on Oct. 8. From midnight to 21:00 UTC, ETH-denominated exposure fell 2.85% and BTC-denominated exposure fell 3.03%.  Related Asset Tether USDT · Stablecoin  Ethereum open interest: more ETH, less USDT value  The ETHUSDT hourly records show open interest rising from 2,279,556 ETH to 2,331,355 ETH across the fixed 69-hour window. Its value fell from approximately 6.175 billion USDT

کل 01:00انڈسٹری

Blockchain.com pursues CFTC approval for prediction markets: CNBC

Blockchain.com has reportedly applied to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for approval of prediction market offerings and crypto derivatives.  CNBC reported Friday that the exchange filed for two licenses with the CFTC for event contracts and crypto derivatives offerings for US-based retail and institutional investors. The licenses, as a designated contract market (DCM) and futures commission merchant (FCM), would allow Blockchain.com to operate as a futures exchange for event contracts and a broker for derivatives contracts, respectively.  Blockchain.com announced in July that it planned to partner with Polymarket as part of a prediction markets integration on the companys app. However, if approved, the CFTC license would allow the exchange to offer its own marketplace with event contracts.  The question of oversight and enforcement of prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket is currently being tested in US courts, as many state-level authorities have lawsuits pending against companies for alleged violations of laws betting on sports and elections. Last month, New Jersey officials filed a petition with the US Supreme Court to weigh in on their case against Kalshi, which could resolve disputes between federal and state regulators.  Related: Prediction markets hit new high as Polymarket enters Sam Altmans World  Blockchain.com was also reportedly

کل 00:38انڈسٹری
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