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Feds Jefferson signals patience as October rate hike odds fall to 23%

Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson has signaled that officials may need more time before changing rates again, as Polymarket odds cited in the latest report have fallen to 23% for an October hike from about 70% last week.　　The Federal Reserve published Jefferson‘s Oct. 1 remarks to the University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business, where he said future policy changes should depend on economic trends, the outlook and the balance of risks. His speech followed a week in which traders reduced bets on another increase at the Oct. 27–28 meeting.　　Jeffersons patience lowers expectations for an October Fed rate hike　　After backing Septembers quarter-point increase, Jefferson said officials would need to form their own assessment of economic conditions before deciding on another move.　　“My colleagues and I will need to come to our own judgment, which may take more time.”　　In the same speech, he pointed to rising bond yields across maturities since the September meeting, describing the increase as a sign that investors were reassessing the economy. With additional data, he said, officials could better judge inflation trends and the appropriate policy setting.　　Jefferson also maintained that inflation risks remained tilted upward, citing geopolitical developments and stronger-than-expected demand. His stated baseline was for

10-02انڈسٹری

Bitcoin Price Enters October Near $85K—Now $95K Is Back in Play

Bitcoin closed September at $83,563, above several closely watched onchain and technical levels as October begins with a historically bullish seasonal backdrop. But the next move may depend less on “Uptober” history and more on ETF demand, jobs data, and whether BTC can hold the $82,000 area.　　Key TakeawaysBitcoin closed September at $83,563, above key onchain and technical support levels, and recently traded near $85,000.ETF and Strategy buying strengthen BTCs setup as leverage cools into a historically strong October.The key test now is holding $82K and breaking $87.5K as U.S. jobs and CPI data arrive.　　Bitcoin Sits Near $85K as Uptober Meets ETF and Jobs Test　　Bitcoin is entering October with momentum, fresh institutional demand, and one of its strongest seasonal patterns behind it.　　BTC ended September at $83,563, comfortably above its estimated $54,000 realized price and the 200-week moving average near $66,000, according to data shared by analyst PlanB. Around 71% of bitcoin supply was in profit at month-end. As of this writing, the top cryptocurrency by market cap is sitting near a price of $85,000 on Oct. 1, showing a gain so far on the short-lived month.　　From 2013 through 2025, bitcoin has posted positive October returns in 10 of 13 years, with

10-02انڈسٹری

XRP is becoming collateral for real loans and the first market is already dominated by whales

XRP is beginning to support live dollar borrowing on Ethereum, though the market remains heavily concentrated among a handful of borrowers.　　Related Asset XRP #5 XRP · $1.50 24-hour change: up 0.80% Loading price history… 24H Up 0.80% 7D Down 1.56% 30D Up 11.08%　　A Morpho market backed by FXRP, a tokenized representation of XRP, had about 7.18 million RLUSD in outstanding loans against 10.76 million FXRP as of Oct. 1. The three largest addresses accounted for almost all of that debt, limiting how far the activity can be read as broad adoption.　　The market, launched in August through Flare, lets XRP holders mint FXRP, move it to Ethereum, and borrow Ripples RLUSD stablecoin without immediately selling their XRP exposure.　　Related Asset Ethereum ETH · $2,702.04 24-hour change: up 1.06%　　That adds a new credit use case for XRP, but also introduces bridge, collateral, and redemption dependencies that borrowers do not face when holding native XRP directly.　　Three borrowers dominate XRPs emerging credit market　　The early borrowing activity is heavily concentrated among a small number of participants.　　Related Asset Ripple USD RLUSD · Stablecoin　　The three largest addresses account for 93% of roughly $7.2 million in outstanding debt, giving a handful of positions outsized influence over the markets size.

10-02انڈسٹری

Circle urges MiCA changes as only 3 of top 30 stablecoins comply

Circle has urged EU policymakers to revise MiCA‘s stablecoin issuance and reserve rules after its EU policy director said only three of the world’s 30 largest stablecoins comply with the framework.　　SummaryOnly USDC, USDG and EURC meet MiCA rules among the top 30 stablecoins, Hansen said.Circle wants EU regulators to preserve issuance arrangements involving European and overseas affiliates.The issuer supports replacing mandatory bank deposit thresholds with rules based on reserve liquidity.Circle‘s proposal draws on the U.S. GENIUS Act’s framework for recognizing foreign stablecoin issuers.　　Circle, in its Oct. 1 policy submission, called for changes covering cross-border issuance, reserve assets and recognition of foreign-regulated stablecoins. The company said Europe has authorized roughly 30 e-money tokens, but its rules still cover relatively few of the largest tokens used globally.　　Patrick Hansen, Circles director of EU strategy and policy, said:　　“only 3 of the top 30 are MiCA-compliant today”　　Hansen identified USDC, USDG and EURC. Circles accompanying policy post compared the top 25 stablecoins by market capitalization rather than the top 30, while naming the same three compliant tokens.　　You might also like:　　Circle executive says stablecoin restrictions could cost the US $1 trillion　　Circle wants MiCA to preserve cross-border issuance　　Under the arrangement Circle wants to retain, a licensed European entity

10-02انڈسٹری

OpenAI Says People Linked to China's Moonshot Tried to Copy Its AI's Hidden Reasoning

In briefOpenAI says a campaign that began July 1 sent 16,000 extraction requests from more than 4,000 users on July 24-25 alone, within a cluster of over 15,000 users.OpenAI attributes a core cluster of the activity to individuals associated with Moonshot AI, maker of Kimi, and says it is unclear whether all operators came from a single actor.The target was the hidden “reasoning” OpenAIs models generate before answering, which OpenAI says could train another model without the original safeguards.　　OpenAI claims to have shut down a coordinated effort to copy the way its AI models think, and it traces a core cluster of that activity to people associated with Moonshot AI, the Chinese startup behind the Kimi chatbot.　　The campaign began on July 1, according to OpenAI. On July 24 and 25 alone, it logged 16,000 extraction requests from more than 4,000 users, part of a wider cluster of over 15,000 users. OpenAI says it fully disrupted the activity by July 28.　　Myriad: Which company IPOs next？ Click to make your prediction.　　The target wasnt the answers, but the work behind them.　　Modern AI models “reason” before they reply—they work through a problem step by step in an internal scratchpad, then show you a clean

10-02انڈسٹری

Drift opens DFX recovery claims with initial payouts near 1% of losses

The Drift Foundation has opened DFX recovery claims and redemptions for victims of its April 1 exploit, with roughly 3.11 million USDT available and initial payouts near 1% of verified losses.　　SummaryEligible wallets receive one DFX token for each USDT of verified losses from the exploit.Initial redemptions pay about 0.0104 USDT per DFX, with redeemed tokens permanently burned.Recovery funding includes Velocity revenue, Tether support, partner capital, and any recovered stolen assets.The claim window closes on Jan. 1, 2028, when unclaimed DFX tokens will be burned.　　The Drift Foundation announced on Oct. 1 that affected users can claim their allocated tokens, redeem them for USDT, or retain their share of future recovery funding. Its launch terms set the total supply at approximately 299.5 million DFX, with no additional tokens to be minted.　　DFX redemptions pay a fraction of verified losses　　Under the foundation‘s formula, each token’s redemption amount equals the Recovery Pools USDT balance divided by the outstanding DFX supply. Drift puts the opening rate at about 0.0104 USDT per token, meaning a claim representing 1,000 USDT of losses would initially redeem for approximately 10.40 USDT.　　For holders who redeem, Drift says the token burn and USDT payment happen in the same transaction, so both complete

10-02انڈسٹری

Citi Sets $113K Bitcoin Price Target, Expects $5 Billion in Crypto ETF Inflows

Citi projects $5 billion in cryptocurrency investment product inflows over the next 12 months as advisors gradually increase allocations. Its revised outlook puts bitcoin at $113,000 and ether at $3,028, supported by stronger activity and economic conditions.　　Key TakeawaysThe bank‘s bitcoin target rose approximately 38%; ether’s increased 35%.Advisers and brokerages are expected to increase allocations gradually.Bitcoin ETFs ended a nine-session inflow streak on Sept. 30.　　Citi Raises Crypto Targets as Its Inflow Assumption Turns Positive　　Citi‘s higher 12-month cryptocurrency price forecasts point to potential gains for investors. Citigroup (NYSE: C), a global bank, raised its projections following a recovery in demand. Its Sept. 30 research note also raised its bitcoin target to $113,000 from $82,000, according to Reuters’ Oct. 1 reporting. The bank increased its forecast for ether to $3,028 from $2,240.　　Citi analyst Alex Saunders attributed the higher forecasts to stronger cryptocurrency activity, supportive economic conditions, and returning exchange-traded fund inflows. He also cited rulemaking by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Saunders said:　　“The increase draws from all three components of our process: activity, macro, and ETF flows.”　　“The increase draws from all three components of our process: activity, macro, and ETF flows.”　　“Debasement fears alongside SEC agency rulemaking, spurred paradoxically by the failed Clarity

10-02انڈسٹری

Bitcoin ETFs are $5 billion away from a new flow record after a brutal 11-month reset

US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded their first daily outflow in more than two weeks, interrupting a recovery that had pushed cumulative flows close to a record.　　Related Asset Bitcoin #1 BTC · $84,776.45 24-hour change: up 1.33% Loading price history… 24H Up 1.33% 7D Up 0.26% 30D Up 9.80%　　The funds posted $148.7 million of net withdrawals on Sept. 30, ending nine consecutive positive sessions that brought in about $3.08 billion, according to Farside Investors.　　Fidelity‘s FBTC drove most of the reversal, with $125.6 million in outflows. Bitwise’s BITB lost $13.6 million, and BlackRocks IBIT shed $9.5 million, while the other nine listed funds recorded no net flows.　　Despite the setback, September remained strongly positive. The products attracted about $2.65 billion during the month, their strongest monthly flow this year behind Augusts $3.52 billion.　　Related Company Fidelity Financial services company　　Meanwhile, the positive September flow brought 2026 net inflows to roughly $930 million after much of the year was spent underwater.　　The recovery has also brought lifetime cumulative flows back toward their previous high. Bloomberg Intelligence data show the products peaked at about $62.8 billion in cumulative inflows on Oct. 10, 2025, before months of redemptions erased much of that progress.　　By July 13, the cumulative

10-02انڈسٹری

LATAM stablecoin liquidity may depend on few providers, investor says

Latin America‘s stablecoin payment ecosystem may depend on a small group of underlying liquidity providers, potentially disrupting customers’ ability to cash out into local currency if a key provider loses banking access, according to Verda Ventures partner Amit Chu.　　In a newly published report from crypto venture companies Varys Capital and Verda Ventures, drawing on Verdas Stablescape database, researchers analyzed 494 companies in the region, but found only 16 whose primary business is providing wholesale stablecoin-to-fiat liquidity, corporate treasury and credit, warning that “fragility in the system is concentrated in its thinnest layer.”　　“There are many sellers of liquidity and very few specialists. What we can‘t see from public data is how many of them warehouse the currency risk themselves and how many pass it to the same few desks and exchanges. Our view is that it’s the second, and thats the fragility the report is pointing at,” Chu told Cointelegraph.　　Stablecoins are playing a growing role in Latin Americas crypto economy. According to a September Chainalysis report, stablecoins by June 2026 accounted for 32.1% of cross-border crypto value, and 22.1% of domestic P2P activity and 17.6% of personal wallet balances in the region.　　Countries with the greatest monetary instability exhibited the fastest growth

10-02انڈسٹری

CLARITY Act could allow 11 crypto activities for US banks

The Congressional Research Service has identified 11 categories of crypto activities that the Senate-reported CLARITY Act would permit for U.S. banking organizations and credit unions, including digital asset underwriting and dealing.　　The Congressional Research Service published its analysis, “Crypto and Bank-Permissible Activities,” on Sep. 30, examining how competing versions of H.R. 3633 would change banks authority to conduct digital asset business.　　According to the nonpartisan research service, the Senate-reported bill would make the 11 activity categories available across banking organizations and credit unions without preserving the existing distinction between activities conducted inside insured banks and those assigned to nonbank subsidiaries.　　The report identifies digital asset underwriting and dealing as an example of permissions that would exceed banks current authority in comparable securities markets. CRS says banks can currently underwrite and deal in limited securities categories, including instruments issued by federal and state governments or their agencies.　　CLARITY Act versions would give banks different permissions　　Under the House-passed version, banks could use digital assets or blockchain technology to carry out activities already permitted by law, according to the CRS analysis. The House text would also authorize certain crypto activities for financial holding companies, allowing those services in nonbank subsidiaries rather than insured banking subsidiaries.　　By comparison, the

10-02انڈسٹری

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