Biggest Bitcoin Catalyst Is Not the Halving: Will US Debt Drive BTC to $300,000?

Bernstein has set Bitcoin (BTC) targets of $150,000 by mid-2027 and $300,000 by 2029. The case rests on US government debt, not the halving. The biggest Bitcoin catalyst, the broker argues, now sits in the bond market.  The timing is hard to ignore. US debt crossed $40 trillion this month, and a Treasury announcement, not a crypto headline, drove bitcoin from the mid-$60,000s to about $81,200 in a week.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Why US Debt Is Now the Biggest Bitcoin Catalyst  The US officially owes $40 trillion, a record it crossed on August 19. That figure has more than doubled in a decade.  Bernstein analysts, led by Gautam Chhugani, argue in a new note that four decades of falling interest rates are over. Every rise in yields now feeds bigger deficits and heavier borrowing.  Faced with that loop, Bernstein expects Washington to pick the quieter exit. Let the currency lose value instead of cutting spending. That path favors assets no government can print, like bitcoin and gold.  The firms base case sees $150,000 by mid-2027 and roughly $300,000 at the 2029 cycle peak. If institutions move faster, Bernstein models $500,000 in 2029 and about $1 million by 2033.  BITCOIN COULD HIT $300,000 BY 2029  Bernstein predicts Bitcoin could recover to a

کل 04:24انڈسٹری

Americans Want Retirement Security, But Dont Trust Bitcoin to Deliver It

Most Americans do not want cryptocurrency near their retirement money, a new National Institute on Retirement Security (NIRS) survey shows. The poll finds 77% call crypto in retirement plans risky, and 46% say it is very risky.  Eighty percent now say the US faces a retirement crisis, up from 67% in 2020. Meanwhile, 61% fear they will not be financially secure after they stop working.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Retirement Anxiety Keeps Climbing  Greenwald Research ran the survey of 1,203 US adults for the Washington-based nonprofit late last year. The results read like a warning.  Inflation worries 73% of savers. Market swings trouble 62%. And 76% fear Social Security cuts if Congress fails to act.  The savings numbers explain the fear. Nearly half of Americans have less than $100,000 put away. Another 18% have nothing at all.  Even $100,000 buys less than most people think. Only 9% knew it produces roughly $4,000 in first-year retirement income under a standard withdrawal rule.  “Americans are telling us that retirement security is becoming harder to achieve as they struggle with the affordability of everyday life. Housing, healthcare, debt and other expenses are competing with the need to save for retirement,” Dan Doonan, NIRS executive director, said in the report.  Follow us on X to get

کل 04:24انڈسٹری

Your 60/40 Portfolio May Be 100% Exposed to a Dying Dollar, Bitwise Says

Investors just moved a record $7 billion into gold and Bitcoin (BTC) funds in five days. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan blames a flaw in the 60/40 portfolio, which is 100% exposed to fiat currency.  Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas calls it the debasement trade, a bet on assets no government can print. This week, that bet pushed AI funds out of the headlines.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Why the 60/40 Portfolio Is Suddenly Under Fire  SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) took in $3.4 billion in the week through August 21. BlackRocks iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) added just over $1 billion, data shows.  BlackRocks iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) ETF Flows in the Week Through August 21. Source: SoSoValue  Meanwhile, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) bled $1.7 billion, more than any other fund. Money did not leave the market. It switched sides.  “DEBASER: Gold and Bitcoin ETFs have combined for +$7b in flows in past week, by far a record for a 5-day period as debasement trade steals spotlight from AI. GLD, IBIT leading, in Top 10 for week. Also notable $IBIT YTD flows are now positive, completely dug out of sizable hole,” Balchunas shared.  Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens  Hougans reply supplied the theory, indicating that

کل 04:24انڈسٹری

Coinbase Powers Betters Crypto-Backed Mortgage Product

Better Mortgage and Coinbase have made their Bitcoin-backed mortgage product generally available, allowing US homebuyers to pledge Bitcoin as collateral for a down payment without selling it, the companies announced Wednesday.  According to Coinbase‘s Help Center, the product pairs a Fannie Mae-backed home loan with a separate down payment loan secured by Bitcoin (BTC). Borrowers must pledge BTC worth at least 250% of the down payment loan, with the pledged BTC transferred to Better’s custodial account on Coinbase Prime.  The two loans carry the same interest rate and amortization term and are repaid through a single monthly payment, Coinbase said. The pledged BTC is returned once the mortgage is fully repaid or refinanced, subject to the loan terms.  Bitcoin price declines alone do not trigger margin calls or changes to the mortgage terms. However, Better can liquidate the pledged BTC if a borrower becomes 60 days delinquent on payments, according to Coinbase.  Discover more  Subscribing To Digital Newspaper Outlets  Selecting An Online Payment Gateway  Investors  Borrowers must be US residents with a verified Coinbase account, and remain subject to Betters credit, income and other underwriting requirements. Coinbase One members are also eligible for a 1% rebate from Better, subject to a $10,000 cap, that can be used toward

کل 04:23انڈسٹری

Euro: Rally stalls against US Dollar as spreads drive trade – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is slightly softer versus the Dollar, with its late-July rally stalling as price action mirrors yield spreads. Markets still price a hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) path, with about 24 bps of tightening expected in September and 40 bps by year-end. Sentiment remains constructive, with risk reversals showing a modest premium for EUR strength and support seen in the mid-1.16s.  Euro soft but sentiment stays constructive  “The EUR is soft, down a fractional 0.1% vs. the USD and a midperformer among the G10 currencies in mixed trade. The EURs rally from late July looks to have stalled, with price action that has largely mirrored the movement in yield spreads.”  Discover more  NEWS  investor  FINANCE  “ECB rate expectations remain hawkish with markets pricing 24bpts of tightening for the September 10th meeting and a cumulative 40bpts by year end.”  “The latest comments from Executive Board member Schnabel have maintained a hawkish bias, highlighting upside risks to inflation related to both geopolitical developments and resilient euro area growth.”  “Data releases have been limited however measures of sentiment are constructive with risk reversals now pricing a modest premium for protection against EUR strength.”  “The RSI remains firmly in bearish territory hovering around the

کل 04:22انڈسٹری

What Is The Next Crypto To Make You Rich? The Answer Is Hiding Where Almost Nobody Is Looking, And The Window Is Still Open

This is a press release sponsored content. BlockchainReporter did not write, edit, or verify this content.  Every cycle, someone asks if the next crypto to make you rich still exists or if the bubble already popped. A record $2.7 billion in shorts got liquidated in one day on August 19, the largest since records began in 2021 per Bloomberg, and the answer printed on the chart. Crypto as a whole is not a bubble and never will be.  The bubbles live inside it, one coin at a time: a token runs, the cap balloons, the size caps the upside, and when that bubble pops the big multiples are gone. The fortunes went to whoever bought early, before the inflation.  Meanwhile, for anyone hunting the coin that has not inflated yet, Pepeto sits in presale with over $10.83 million in and a Binance debut ahead. This stage, before listing and crowd, is where life-changing multiples are made.  A $2.7 Billion Short Squeeze Just Reminded Everyone What Happens When Bears Bet Against Crypto  Over $1 billion in Bitcoin shorts closed by force in one hour on August 19 as BTC ripped from $64,920 past $78,500, per CoinMarketCap. Liquidations totaled $3 billion across 172,000 traders, and shorts took

کل 04:20انڈسٹری

UK Gambling Lobby Puts Illegal Premier League Bets at $1.09B

Key TakeawaysBGC says the black market may take up to $1.09B in Premier League bets this season.The Premier League put a voluntary front-of-shirt gambling sponsorship ban in place for the season.The UK‘s new prime minister, Andy Burham, is looking to revoke the Gambling Act’s “aim to permit” duty.  Trade Body Forecast Arrives in Disruptive Period  The Betting and Gaming Council said on Aug. 24 that the illegal gambling black market is expected to take up to $1.09 billion in bets across the Premier League season that began Aug. 21, with around $27 million staked with criminal operators over the opening weekend. The trade body forecast a further $272 million increase next season, taking the annual figure to roughly $1.36 billion, which it attributed to Aprils planned increase in General Betting Duty.  The statement says the $1.09 billion is “expected,” the $272 million increase is “forecast,” and that “analysis suggests” a typical weekend sees between $20 million and $27 million staked with unlicensed operators. No research firm is credited for those figures, and no methodology is published. The opening-weekend number is also stated two different ways within three paragraphs: first as money already staked, then as an expectation that the first round of fixtures

کل 04:17انڈسٹری

Crypto Tax Rules May Still Miss 86% of Onchain Activity

Chainalysis estimates at least $457 billion in potentially taxable onchain crypto activity during 2025.The United States accounted for $112.6 billion, followed by Germany at $24.1 billion and China at $21 billion.Only about 14% of the onchain activity analyzed falls within CARFs practical reporting reach.DeFi, self-custody, P2P transfers and several forms of onchain income remain difficult for tax authorities to reconstruct.  Governments are preparing for the biggest expansion of international crypto tax reporting to date, but the data they receive may still capture only a narrow portion of what actually happens onchain. New research from Chainalysis estimates that potentially taxable onchain crypto activity exceeded $457 billion in 2025, while only about 14% of the activity analyzed would fall within the practical reach of the OECDs Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework, or CARF.  $457 Billion Is a Lower Boundary, Not a Global Crypto Tax Bill  The headline number requires an important qualification before considering its implications.  Chainalysis is measuring activity that could potentially be relevant for taxation, not the amount of unpaid tax governments are entitled to collect. Tax treatment differs substantially between jurisdictions, and exemptions, holding periods and transaction classifications can change whether an individual event produces a tax liability.  The research combines realized gains associated with centralized

کل 04:14انڈسٹری

Unstoppable Domains drops ICANN plans, offers refunds

Unstoppable Domains has dropped plans to seek ICANN recognition for its own Web3 domain extensions after finding that compliance, application, and auction costs would exceed the sales it expected to recover.  Unstoppable Domains says ICANN costs became too high  Unstoppable Domains said it did not submit ICANN applications for nine of its Web3 extensions, including .crypto, .wallet and .blockchain, before the 2026 application round closed. The decision ends its plan to add conventional DNS support to the affected blockchain-based domains.  According to the companys founder, Matthew Gould, the expected cost of compliance, preparing each application, and competing in possible auctions exceeded the amount Unstoppable believed it could recover through domain sales. ICANN may place applicants into contention when two or more parties request the same extension, creating another potential expense beyond the initial application and evaluation process.  The company has notified affected customers by email and plans to refund purchases tied to extensions that it did not take into the 2026 application round. However, Unstoppable has not publicly released a complete list of eligible extensions, the amount covered by each refund, or the process customers must follow to receive their money.  Questions from holders have centered on whether refunds will cover every domain sold with

کل 04:11انڈسٹری

Altcoin Volume Dominance Hits Two-Year High as Traders Pour $135B Into the Market

Binance traders heavily favored altcoins during Bitcoins rally, pushing their volume share to an unprecedented 65% level across two years.  Altcoins have taken a leading role in the latest crypto market rally, as trading activity and market capitalization surged alongside Bitcoins sharp move higher. This comes after an extended period of low volatility and subdued trading volumes.  According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, investor attention and capital have moved strongly toward altcoins, “potentially signaling a broader resurgence of risk appetite across the market.”  Biggest Dominance Surge in 2 Years  Bitcoin gained nearly 25% over the past week, while altcoins significantly amplified the broader market trend. The total altcoin market capitalization, measured through Total2 and excluding Ethereum, increased by around $135 billion during the same period. Darkfost said that the scale of the move highlights how quickly capital has entered the altcoin segment.  A notable change was also seen in trading activity. On Binance, which represents nearly 40% of altcoin trading volume across exchanges, these tokens accounted for as much as 65% of total volume at their peak. At that point, Bitcoin made up just 21% of volume, while Ethereum accounted for 13.6%.  Darkfost explained that altcoins had not held this much of Binances trading volume in two

کل 04:11انڈسٹری
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