کرپٹو انڈسٹری کی خبریں اور مارکیٹ رجحانات

Stanford Study: Polymarket's Bitcoin Bets Were Rigged in the Final 10 Seconds

A small group of traders extracted $8.2 million from Polymarkets five-minute bitcoin contracts by pushing the spot price on Binance just before settlement, researchers from Stanford University and Singapore Management University found.　　Key TakeawaysStanford and SMU researchers found 821 traders took $8.2 million from Polymarkets 5-minute bitcoin bets.Net order flow on Binance jumped about 50% in the final 10 seconds before settlement, the study found.The paper says 15-minute contracts show far less abuse, pointing to longer settlement windows as the fix.　　Striking New Findings Emerge　　Polymarket‘s fastest bitcoin betting product shows systematic signs of settlement manipulation, according to a new study by David Dai and Ruizhe Jia of Stanford University’s Department of Management Science and Engineering and Shihao Yu of Singapore Management Universitys Lee Kong Chian School of Business.　　Image source: arxiv.org　　The working paper, titled “Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets,” examined roughly 16,000 five-minute bitcoin up-or-down contracts from their Feb. 12, 2026 launch through April. The contracts settle against a Chainlink oracle that aggregates spot prices from major exchanges, meaning whoever can nudge the spot price in the final moments can decide which side of the bet pays out.　　Describing the profits, the authors wrote that manipulators “take $8.2 million in the pushed cycles while

07-16انڈسٹری

Jeff Booth, Lyn Alden-backed ORANGE JUICE raises $40 million to launch permanent capital firm with bitcoin treasury strategy

Quick TakeORANGE JUICE has raised $40 million to launch a permanent capital company that will acquire and permanently own American businesses while pursuing a bitcoin treasury strategy.　　ORANGE JUICE has raised $40 million to launch a permanent capital company that will acquire and permanently own American businesses while pursuing a bitcoin treasury strategy.　　The Connecticut-based company said in a statement on Wednesday that it will target cash-flow-generating businesses with between $1 million and $10 million in annual cash flow across various sectors.　　According to the statement, ORANGE JUICE was founded by partners from bitcoin venture capital firm ego death capital, including Jeff Booth, Lyn Alden, Nico Lechuga and Andi Pitt, alongside Adrian Steckel, with Ruben Zweiban serving as operating partner.　　The company said acquired businesses will retain their identities, while founders can retire, continue operating, or transition leadership over time. Sellers will receive part of their consideration in ORANGE JUICE equity.　　“Building a business takes decades. Founders deserve more than one path when its time to transition ownership,” founding partner Nico Lechuga said.　　ORANGE JUICE said it is structured as a permanent capital company rather than a traditional private equity fund and is not constrained by fund cycles or pressure to resell portfolio companies.　　Ricardo Salinas, founder

07-16انڈسٹری

US Senate unanimously adopts resolution opposing clemency for SBF

The US Senate has adopted a resolution opposing executive clemency for former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried, the convicted crypto executive behind one of the industrys largest collapses.　　The Senate has agreed by unanimous consent to the simple resolution (S. Res. 772), with a nonbinding measure stating that Bankman-Fried should not receive executive clemency, according to a Wednesday X post by the Senate Press Gallery.　　The resolution affirms the Senate‘s commitment to the rule of law and the integrity of the US financial system following Bankman-Fried’s conviction on fraud and conspiracy charges related to FTXs collapse.　　The measure cannot block a presidential pardon but reflects bipartisan Senate opposition after Bankman-Fried sought executive clemency from President Donald Trump.　　Senate weighs in, but cannot block a pardon　　Introduced on June 17 by Senator Ruben Gallego, with Senator Cynthia Lummis as a cosponsor, S. Res. 772 opposes any form of federal clemency for Bankman-Fried, including a presidential pardon or sentence commutation.　　Unlike legislation, a simple Senate resolution does not require approval from the House or the president and does not have the force of law, according to the Senates “Types of Legislation” guide.Source: Senate Press Gallery　　Congress.gov had not yet reflected the latest floor action at the time of publication.　　Related: FTX

07-16انڈسٹری

Volvo Group tests proprietary cryptocurrency for supplier transactions in blockchain push

Quick TakeVolvo Group has tested a proprietary cryptocurrency on a closed network to streamline transactions with suppliers.The project remains in the ideation stage and is not yet industrialized.　　Volvo Group has explored using a proprietary cryptocurrency on a closed blockchain network to streamline transactions and data exchange with material and transport suppliers.　　Ivan Branco, Head of Information Management, AI, and Analytics at Volvo Group Trucks Operations, said in a recent interview with the Cardano Foundation that the initiative was an internal exploration aimed at simplifying cross-border exchanges and maintaining immutable records of orders and transportation data, independent of traditional currencies.　　“We have done explorations also with certain transport suppliers to see if we could create, lets say, an enclosed environment using blockchain for the transactions in between material supplier, transport supplier, and ourselves with a proprietary cryptocurrency that we created for that specific purpose,” Branco said.　　It is part of broader efforts by Volvo Group — the division responsible for trucks, buses, and construction equipment — to explore blockchain for improving supply chain efficiency.　　End-to-end traceability　　Volvo Group sees potential blockchain applications in product traceability, particularly for remanufacturing, and upcoming European regulations such as the Digital Product Passport.　　Branco highlighted persistent issues with country-of-origin tracking for spare

07-16انڈسٹری

Bitcoin Rebounds 12% From Sub-$58K Low but Stalls Near $64K

Bitcoin News　　Bitcoin (BTC) traded near $64,000 on July 16 after veteran chart analyst Peter Brandt flagged a possible bottoming structure, and our reading of the setup is that confirmation remains distant. Brandt suggested the price action could be forming an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern — a three-trough formation in which the middle low sits below the flanking lows and typically signals a reversal only once price clears the neckline. He called the structure “VERY VERY UNCONVENTIONAL” and stressed traders do not yet know whether it will hold. As we read it, Bitcoin has not completed the neckline break, leaving the pattern an early possibility rather than a confirmed signal.　　The rebound itself has been sharp but unfinished. Bitcoin has gained roughly 12% from a swing low beneath $58,000, briefly pushing above $65,400 before retreating toward $64,000. That failure to hold above $65,000 marks the zone as the immediate hurdle bulls must clear to validate a broader recovery. Buyers have not secured a clean breakout, and the stall echoes Brandts more cautious June stance, when Bitcoin sat below its 18-week moving average and outside a rising channel. Our read of the tape is that the $65,000 resistance band now separates a relief bounce

07-16انڈسٹری

South Korea rate hike puts fresh pressure on crypto risk appetite

South Korea has raised interest rates for the first time since January 2023, shifting monetary policy toward tighter conditions in one of the worlds most active retail crypto markets.　　The Bank of Korea raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points from 2.50% to 2.75% on July 16. All seven members of the Monetary Policy Board supported the decision. The central bank also said further increases may be needed depending on inflation, growth and financial stability conditions.　　Bank of Korea shifts toward tighter monetary policy　　The rate increase was widely expected. A Reuters poll found that 36 of 37 economists expected the central bank to raise its policy rate to 2.75%.　　The Bank of Korea cited stronger exports and investment, persistent inflation and risks to financial stability. June consumer inflation reached 3.2%, while the central bank expects economic growth to exceed its previous 2.6% forecast by a wide margin.　　Governor Hyun Song Shin said developments in growth, inflation and financial stability all supported a rate increase. The bank also said monetary policy may need to remain on a tightening path, with future decisions depending on economic data.　　Higher interest rates generally raise borrowing costs and can reduce demand for speculative assets. For crypto markets, the direct

07-16انڈسٹری

Is Bitcoin Really Headed to $38,000？ NYDIG's October Scenario, Explained

Bitcoin could sink to a cycle low of $38,000 to $39,000 by October if the current drawdown matches the depth of 2022s bear market, NYDIG said in its second-quarter review.　　Key TakeawaysNYDIG sees a potential bitcoin cycle low near $38,000-$39,000 by October if a 2022-style drawdown repeats.Bitcoin is currently trading near $64,500, down about 30% in 2026 and roughly 50% below October 2025s $126,080 peak.K33 researchers believe the $60,000 area already marked this bear markets maximum drawdown.　　A Bleak Scenario　　Bitcoin financial services firm NYDIG has mapped out a scenario in which bitcoin‘s slide extends to $38,000-$39,000 by October, if the 2025-2026 downturn follows the depth and duration of the market’s previous major resets. The scenario appeared in the firms second-quarter review, “ Leverage Not Spot Demand Is Driving Bitcoin While Value and Momentum Buyers Wait,” which was published last week.　　The firm was explicit about why the old playbook is back on traders screens, noting:　　“ Bitcoins 2025-2026 drawdown is bringing the 4-year cycle narrative back into focus, because the timing and structure increasingly resemble the prior reset years of 2014, 2018 and 2022 even though the path has not matched those drawdowns exactly.”　　“ Bitcoins 2025-2026 drawdown is bringing the 4-year cycle narrative back

07-16انڈسٹری

Peter Brandt spots possible Bitcoin bottom as BTC stalls near $65K

Veteran trader Peter Brandt has identified a possible bottoming structure on Bitcoins chart after the cryptocurrency rebounded from its late-June lows. Brandt stressed that traders still lack enough evidence to confirm the setup.　　Bitcoin traded near $64,000 on July 16 after failing to hold above $65,000. It has recovered from below $58,000, but questions remain over whether spot demand can support a broader reversal.　　Brandt flags an unconventional Bitcoin bottom pattern　　In aJuly 16 post on X, Brandt said Bitcoins chart could be developing an inverted head-and-shoulders bottom. He described the structure as “VERY VERY UNCONVENTIONAL” and added, “We do NOT know yet.”He presented the formation as an early possibility rather than a confirmed signal.　　VERY VERY UNCONVENTIONAL, but this chart could have the makings of an inverted H&S bottom. We do NOT know yet. $BTCUSD pic.twitter.com/fDjQgVbGdv　　— The Factor Report (@PeterLBrandt) July 15, 2026　　An inverted head-and-shoulders pattern includes three price troughs, with the middle decline extending below the surrounding lows. Traders often wait for a break above the neckline before treating the setup as confirmed. Bitcoin has not completed such a move.　　Bitcoin rebound meets resistance near $65,000　　Bitcoin has gained roughly 12% from its recent swing low below $58,000, but the rebound has struggled around

07-16انڈسٹری

Crypto firms face AML risks during post-MiCA migration, says AMLA chair

Mass user migration following the end of the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) transitional period could strain compliance at virtual asset service providers (VASPs) in the European Union, according to Bruna Szego, chair of the Authority for Anti-Money Laundering and Countering the Financing of Terrorism (AMLA).　　“Because we know customers will rush to withdraw, this will put additional pressure on these VASPs,” Szego said during a Wednesday briefing with the European Parliaments Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs.　　Szego said firms winding down their EU operations could come under pressure as customers rush to withdraw, while licensed crypto companies could face onboarding challenges as they absorb new users. She urged service providers to maintain efficient compliance procedures throughout the transition.　　MiCAs 18-month transitional period ended on July 1, requiring crypto asset service providers (CASPs) to hold licenses to continue serving EU customers. The European Securities and Markets Authority said crypto service providers that remain unauthorized by the deadline must take “immediate” steps to wind down their EU activities.　　Related: Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition period　　AMLA maps next phase of crypto oversight　　Ahead of MiCAs July 1 deadline, AMLA published an advisory note warning crypto firms about money laundering risks arising from the

07-16انڈسٹری

Bitcoin hits $65.5K as more surprise US inflation data sparks three-week BTC price high

Bitcoin (BTC) saw three-week highs on Wednesday as US inflation data beat expectations for a second day.　　Key points:Bitcoin sees copycat bullish price action as US inflation data cools for a second day running.Risk assets get a more positive outlook as Fed rate-cut odds drop.Traders stay conservative over Bitcoins ability to continue higher.　　Bitcoin gains after “much better-than-expected” US PPI　　Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD reaching $65,500 for the first time since June 22.BTC/USD 12-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView　　The June print of the Producer Price Index (PPI) came in cool at 5.5% year-on-year after a 0.3% monthly decrease, per data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).　　“The June decline in the index for final demand can be attributed to prices for final demand goods, which fell 1.4 percent. In contrast, the index for final demand services moved up 0.2 percent,” an official news release stated.PPI one-month % change. Source: BLS　　Reacting, economist Mohamed El-Erian was upbeat on the outlook for risk assets and Federal Reserve policy.　　“These much better-than-expected figures are set to boost equities and further temper market expectations for upcoming interest rate hikes,” he wrote in a post on X.　　PPI joined Tuesdays Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which surprised to the downside despite macro

07-16انڈسٹری

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