Iran keeps Strait of Hormuz closed, deepening global supply chain disruptions

Tech  Iran keeps Strait of Hormuz closed, deepening global supply chain disruptions  Irans continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz during the US-Israel conflict has deepened global supply chain disruptions. The market for Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by May 15 is at 15.5% YES, up slightly from 14% twenty-four hours ago.  Market reaction  The May 31 market for Trump lifting the US blockade of Hormuz fell sharply to 50.5% YES, down from 58% a day ago. Traders see little chance of a quick resolution. The largest single move was a 12-point spike in the May 31 market, which settled back down, suggesting volatile positioning driven by speculation rather than concrete diplomatic progress.  The Strait of Hormuz traffic market has $1,000,111 in face value per day but only $184,621 in actual USDC. It takes $37,667 to move the price by 5 points, enough to absorb moderate institutional trades but still vulnerable to large orders. The Trump blockade market has $554,169 in face value and $322,748 in real trades, requiring $16,155 for a 5-point move.  Why it matters  The closure affects not just oil and LNG but also critical minerals, with broader economic consequences. At 15.5¢, a YES bet on Hormuz traffic normalizing by May 15 pays $1,

04-29Industry

Seagate (STX) Shares Soar 18% on Stellar Quarterly Results and Optimistic Forecast

Tech  Seagate (STX) Shares Soar 18% on Stellar Quarterly Results and Optimistic ForecastSeagates Q3 adjusted earnings per share reached $4.10, surpassing the $3.48 analyst consensus, while revenue totaled $3.11B versus $2.95B projectedYear-over-year revenue surged 44% compared to $2.16B in the prior-year quarterFourth-quarter outlook calls for $5.00 EPS and $3.45B in revenue, both exceeding analyst projectionsNon-GAAP gross margin climbed to 47.0% from 36.2% in the year-ago periodSTX shares jumped more than 18% during extended trading, hitting $687.00  Seagate Technology (STX) delivered an impressive fiscal third quarter for 2026, exceeding analyst projections on both the top and bottom lines, while unveiling fourth-quarter guidance that significantly outpaced Wall Street expectations.  SEAGATE $STX Q326 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS  Revenue: $3.1B (Est. $3.0B) ; +44% y/y  EPS: $4.10 (Est. $3.50) ; +116% y/y  Gross Margin: 47.0% (Est. 44.6%)  FCF: $953M  FQ4 Revenue Guide: $3.5B (Est. $3.1B) ; +41% y/y  Q4 Guide:  Revenue: $3.5B (Est. $3.1B) ;… pic.twitter.com/2QoYnrwY4j  — Wall St Engine (@wallstengine) April 28, 2026  The data storage giant reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.10, comfortably ahead of the $3.48 consensus forecast. Quarterly revenue reached $3.11 billion, surpassing expectations of $2.95 billion and marking a 44% increase from the $2.16 billion recorded in the comparable quarter last year.  Shares ended Tuesdays regular trading session at $579.03 before climbing to

04-29Industry

Why Are Oil Prices Jumping Despite UAE Plans to Leave OPEC After 60Y?

Tech  Why Are Oil Prices Jumping Despite UAE Plans to Leave OPEC After 60Y?  Oil prices rose sharply on Tuesday despite the United Arab Emirates saying it would leave OPEC and OPEC+ next month, ending nearly 60 years inside the producer group during one of the most tense periods for global energy markets.  Brent crude traded near $111 per barrel after reaching a one-month high, while West Texas Intermediate moved around $100.15. The gains extended a seven-day rally as traders assessed supply risks from the Middle East conflict, restricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, and stalled peace talks involving the United States and Iran.  The UAE‘s decision marks a major change for OPEC, which has long relied on coordinated production policy among leading oil exporters. The country has been one of the group’s largest producers and has played an important role in OPEC+ supply decisions alongside Saudi Arabia, Russia, and other members.  UAE Exit Changes OPEC Supply Balance  UAE Energy Minister Suhail Mohamed al-Mazrouei said the decision followed a review of the countrys current and future production policy. He said the move was a national policy decision and was not raised with other countries before being made.  The UAE is expected to leave both OPEC and

04-29Industry

Ali Larijani assassinated amid US-Israeli strikes, Iran regime stability in question

Tech  Ali Larijani assassinated amid US-Israeli strikes, Iran regime stability in question  Ali Larijani has been assassinated, and the “Iranian regime fall by April 30” market sits at 0.1% YES, while the June 30 market is at 7.5% YES.  Larijani‘s death removes a senior figure from Iran’s leadership structure during ongoing US-Israeli strikes. The April 30 market remains nearly flat, with traders clearly skeptical about immediate regime collapse. The June 30 market shows modest movement, suggesting traders see possible catalysts for regime change over the next two months.  The assassination has affected both regime stability markets and leadership change contracts. Combined daily volume across these markets is $49,832 in actual USDC. The largest recent move was a 50-point spike in the April 30 market that quickly reverted, pointing to volatile but ultimately unconvinced sentiment.  Larijani‘s removal complicates Iran’s command structure and could open pathways for opposition figures like Reza Pahlavi. At 8¢, a YES share for regime fall by June 30 pays $1, a 12.5x return. For that bet to pay off, traders need to believe the leadership vacuum will cause systemic collapse within 62 days.  Watch for signs of IRGC fragmentation or Assembly of Experts activity, as either could shift these markets sharply. With the

04-29Industry

CLARITY’s delay to test Wall Street’s $6.6 trillion stablecoin warning which is at odds with White House view

Tech  CLARITY‘s delay to test Wall Street’s $6.6 trillion stablecoin warning which is at odds with White House view  The CLARITY Act has stalled in Senate Banking deliberations, setting back an array of market rules that would solidify into law most of the pro-crypto stance that took hold in the President Donald Trump administration.  Yet, Congress may have handed crypto markets an unexpected experiment. Galaxy Research puts the odds of enactment this year at roughly 50-50, possibly lower, with unresolved disputes over DeFi provisions, jurisdiction, and stablecoin yield language.  The bill spans token classification, exchange and broker-dealer registration, software carveouts, and DeFi provisions, with the rewards dispute representing one contested layer inside a much larger framework.  On the rewards layer is where Wall Streets most concrete stablecoin-related fear lives, and a stall could let the market answer it before Congress does.  The rewards lane  The GENIUS Act explicitly bars stablecoin issuers from paying interest or yield solely for holding a payment stablecoin, resolving the simplest version of the fight.  The harder question is if exchanges and third parties can offer cash back, referral bonuses, or promotional yields without running into the same prohibition.  Both the OCC‘s March proposal and the FDIC’s April proposal extended anti-evasion presumptions to some affiliate

04-29Industry

Trusted Smart Chain Takes the Stage at Consensus as the Compliance-First Infrastructure Powering the Next Era of Real-World Asset Tokenization

Tech  Trusted Smart Chain Takes the Stage at Consensus as the Compliance-First Infrastructure Powering the Next Era of Real-World Asset Tokenization  Trusted Smart Chain (TSC), the only Layer 1 blockchain built from the ground up specifically to meet the compliance demands of real-world asset tokenization, will headline a Spotlight Stage panel at Consensus 2026 titled “Where Blockchain Meets Main Street: Trusted Smart Chain.” The session is scheduled for Wednesday, May 6 from 1:00 PM to 1:45 PM EDT at the Miami Beach Convention Center.  Most blockchain networks were built for speed and decentralization first, with compliance considered later. Trusted Smart Chain was built in the opposite order. Every architectural decision, from its consensus mechanism to its smart contract design, was made with one question at the center: will this hold up under regulatory scrutiny? The result is a Layer 1 that does not need to retrofit compliance onto existing infrastructure. It is the infrastructure.  What sets TSCs founding team apart from others operating in the tokenization space is their direct experience in traditional capital formation. The team brings deep backgrounds in taking companies public, navigating securities law, and operating within the regulatory frameworks that govern how real-world assets are issued, transferred, and held. That

04-29Industry

TON Price Prediction: Technical Bounce to $1.45 Before December Correction

Market Context: Why TON is Moving Now  TON trades in a narrow range around $1.30 after declining from recent highs near $1.58, creating a technical setup that favors short-term traders over long-term holders. The Telegram-backed blockchain maintains strong fundamentals, but current price action suggests institutional profit-taking rather than retail accumulation.  Bitcoin‘s ongoing volatility continues to pressure altcoins, with TON particularly sensitive to broader crypto market sentiment. The token’s stability around current levels masks underlying weakness as longer-term moving averages remain bearish. Analysts at Blockchain.news note that TONs technical structure points to limited upside potential without a significant shift in market dynamics.  Technical Structure Analysis  The momentum picture shows TON trapped between conflicting signals. The token sits below key resistance levels while support holds just under $1.30. This compression creates conditions for a technical bounce, but the broader trend structure suggests any rally will face significant headwinds.  Hourly candlesticks (about 96 bars), same endpoint as our cryptocurrency price pages. Numbers below refresh from 1-minute klines.  Full TON price, calculator & analysis  Volume patterns indicate controlled selling rather than panic liquidation, with institutional players likely managing positions ahead of year-end. The daily trading range has contracted, typically preceding volatility expansion in either direction.  Moving average positioning confirms the bearish bias,

04-29Industry

Canada is Banning Crypto ATMs: BTC Impact

Bitcoin Crypto  Canada is Banning Crypto ATMs: BTC Impact  The Canadian Liberal government has brought up banning crypto ATMs nationwide, which have become the primary tool for fraud and money laundering. This measure, included in the Spring Economic Update published on Tuesday, is justified by officials describing the machines as “a primary method that robs victims and launders criminal proceeds.” The government plans to completely disable these tools to protect Canadians.  What is the Canada Crypto ATM Ban?  Crypto ATMs operate differently from traditional cash machines; they convert cash into cryptocurrencies like BTC detailed analysis and send them to digital wallets anywhere in the world, bypassing banking oversight. The proposal comes amid growing warnings from law enforcement and regulators; crypto ATMs have become the center of fraud networks.FINTRAC 2023 Analysis: Bitcoin ATMs are the primary method for scammers to collect and launder funds.Historical Pioneering: Canada installed the worlds first BTC ATM in Vancouver in 2013.Additional Measures: Discussion of banning cryptocurrencies in election donations due to anonymous transfer risks.  The Role of BTC ATMs in Crimes and Market Impact  This move signals tighter control over anonymity and cross-border mobility in the crypto ecosystem. Regulators hardening against fraud-related losses paves the way for tightening loose structures in the

04-29Industry

Why Are Oil Prices Jumping Despite UAE Plans to Leave OPEC After 60Y?

Tech  Why Are Oil Prices Jumping Despite UAE Plans to Leave OPEC After 60Y?  Oil prices rose sharply on Tuesday despite the United Arab Emirates saying it would leave OPEC and OPEC+ next month, ending nearly 60 years inside the producer group during one of the most tense periods for global energy markets.  Brent crude traded near $111 per barrel after reaching a one-month high, while West Texas Intermediate moved around $100.15. The gains extended a seven-day rally as traders assessed supply risks from the Middle East conflict, restricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, and stalled peace talks involving the United States and Iran.  The UAE‘s decision marks a major change for OPEC, which has long relied on coordinated production policy among leading oil exporters. The country has been one of the group’s largest producers and has played an important role in OPEC+ supply decisions alongside Saudi Arabia, Russia, and other members.  UAE Exit Changes OPEC Supply Balance  UAE Energy Minister Suhail Mohamed al-Mazrouei said the decision followed a review of the countrys current and future production policy. He said the move was a national policy decision and was not raised with other countries before being made.  The UAE is expected to leave both OPEC and

04-29Industry

Ali Larijani assassinated amid US-Israeli strikes, Iran regime stability in question

Tech  Ali Larijani assassinated amid US-Israeli strikes, Iran regime stability in question  Ali Larijani has been assassinated, and the “Iranian regime fall by April 30” market sits at 0.1% YES, while the June 30 market is at 7.5% YES.  Larijani‘s death removes a senior figure from Iran’s leadership structure during ongoing US-Israeli strikes. The April 30 market remains nearly flat, with traders clearly skeptical about immediate regime collapse. The June 30 market shows modest movement, suggesting traders see possible catalysts for regime change over the next two months.  The assassination has affected both regime stability markets and leadership change contracts. Combined daily volume across these markets is $49,832 in actual USDC. The largest recent move was a 50-point spike in the April 30 market that quickly reverted, pointing to volatile but ultimately unconvinced sentiment.  Larijani‘s removal complicates Iran’s command structure and could open pathways for opposition figures like Reza Pahlavi. At 8¢, a YES share for regime fall by June 30 pays $1, a 12.5x return. For that bet to pay off, traders need to believe the leadership vacuum will cause systemic collapse within 62 days.  Watch for signs of IRGC fragmentation or Assembly of Experts activity, as either could shift these markets sharply. With the

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