Federal Reserve's Daly: Three Rate Cuts This Year Is a Reasonable Baseline Scenario

Fed Chair Powell stated that three interest rate cuts by the Fed this year are a “reasonable baseline” expectation. In his prepared remarks, he emphasized two opposing risks that policymakers need to consider: on one hand, the slowing progress in lowering inflation, and on the other, the sudden sharp deterioration in the labor market. Powell stated that accomplishing this task requires perseverance, resisting the temptation to act quickly when patience is needed, and being prepared to respond flexibly as the economy evolves.  Powell believes that price stability is within reach, but there is still more work to be done. He also discussed various factors that could impede further progress in lowering inflation. He noted that labor force growth and productivity may not grow as strongly as before, and consumer demand may not slow down as expected. Persistent economic momentum exceeding existing supply still poses risks to the inflation outlook.  

2024-02-18Deep Dive

Expected CZ Sentence Not to Exceed 18 Months

Prosecutors in the United States submitted a sentencing memorandum to the Seattle federal court this Friday regarding Binances alleged violations of US economic sanctions and anti-money laundering regulations. The memorandum requests the federal judge to approve the related plea agreement, which reportedly also entails a five-year monitoring period for Binance. Additionally, Bloomberg reported that Binances former CEO CZ has pleaded guilty to money laundering charges, with a sentencing expected in April this year. While facing a maximum of 10 years in prison, according to the plea agreement, the anticipated sentence is not expected to exceed 18 months. Earlier reports indicated that Binance admitted to violating US anti-money laundering and sanction regulations and agreed to pay fines of up to $4.3 billion by the end of last year.  

2024-02-18Deep Dive

Last Week, Net Inflows of 10 Spot Bitcoin ETFs Reached $2.3 Billion

According to SoSoValue data, the total net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs was $339 million yesterday (February 16th, US Eastern Time), marking 16 consecutive trading days of net inflows.  Grayscales ETF GBTC saw a net outflow of $150 million yesterday. The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest net inflow yesterday was BlackRocks ETF IBIT, with a net inflow of $191 million, bringing IBITs total historical net inflow to $5.346 billion. Following IBIT was Fidelitys ETF FBTC, with a net inflow of approximately $116 million yesterday, bringing FBTCs total historical net inflow to $3.77 billion. As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $37.65 billion, with an ETF net asset ratio (percentage of market value to total market value of Bitcoin) of 3.7%. The total cumulative net inflow has reached $5.04 billion.  Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas disclosed data on the X platform showing that last week, net inflows into 10 Bitcoin spot ETFs reached $2.3 billion, surpassing any other ETF.  Among them, BlackRocks IBIT has seen inflows totaling $5.2 billion year-to-date in 2024, while the total inflows for BlackRocks 417 ETFs amount to approximately $10.4 billion. This indicates that IBITs inflows account for approximately 50%

2024-02-18Deep Dive

Hacken: Recent Attack on Ripple Co-Founder's Wallet Linked to Wallet and XRP Authorized Wallet

Blockchain security firm Hacken recently revealed the connection between a previous hack targeting Ripple co-founder and chairman Chris Larsens personal wallet and XRP escrow wallets. The hack occurred on January 31, resulting in Larsen losing 213 million XRP, valued at $112.5 million.  According to Hacken, the hack involved two core wallets connected to XRP escrow wallets. Due to the unique complexity of the event, the investigation initially focused on a wallet address starting with “rJNLz3A1,” which was identified as the compromised XRP wallet.  Through analysis of inbound and outbound transactions, Hackens research indicates that most of the stolen funds were transferred to various exchange addresses, including one from the Kraken exchange, purportedly used for laundering funds.  Specifically, a wallet address starting with “rU1bPM4” had a significant transaction history with Larsen and was associated with the wallets used by the hacker. This account had a long-standing connection with XRP and, prior to the event, sent $64.6 million worth of XRP to Larsen and engaged in transactions with Kraken deposit addresses allegedly used to transfer funds from the attack.  Although Hacken did not conclude that the attack was carried out by insiders, the connection between the involved wallets and XRP escrow wallets is indeed unusual.  

2024-02-09Deep Dive

Genesis Reaches Settlement Agreement with New York Attorney General,

Genesis has reached a settlement agreement with New York Attorney General Letitia James, who previously accused Genesis of deceiving customers through the now-terminated Gemini Earn program. This settlement will result in the return of assets, which could have otherwise been claimed by New York authorities, to former Earn customers and other Genesis creditors.  The agreement still needs approval from a bankruptcy judge. Genesis will seek approval from Judge Sean Lane for the New York settlement and liquidation plan on February 14th. (Bloomberg)  Earlier on February 2nd, bankrupt Genesis had agreed to settle a lawsuit filed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) a year ago regarding a lending program.  As a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, Genesis agreed to pay $21 million to the SEC to end the lawsuit, according to a document filed in the Southern District of New York bankruptcy court.  

2024-02-09Deep Dive

ERC404 Project Pandora Announces Official Establishment as a Full-Fledged Entity

The ERC404 project Pandora posted on X platform, stating: “Finally completed the last piece of paperwork. Today Pandora officially becomes a full-fledged entity. We have transformed from a group of idea-driven individuals into a mature startup company with a team of over 10 people. Today, we will undergo auditing, with liquidity locking to follow closely. As we continue to explore the final EIP, the team will release some exciting new developments and provide comprehensive documentation. Everything is just beginning.”  

2024-02-09Deep Dive

The 17th Trading Day Sees a Net Inflow of $68 Million into Bitcoin Spot ETF

According to BitMEX Research data, the net inflow of funds for the 17th trading day of the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF (on February 5th) amounted to approximately $68 million.  

2024-02-06Deep Dive

Multicoin Capital Is Discussing Selling Its Approximately $100 Million FTX Bankruptcy Claim

Cryptocurrency investment firm Multicoin Capital is currently in discussions regarding the sale of its FTX bankruptcy claim, which is valued at approximately $100 million, according to a knowledgeable source.  Positive news surrounding the FTX bankruptcy has already driven the claim price up to over 70 cents per dollar and is now approaching 80 cents.  Companies inadvertently involved in the FTX collapse, such as Multicoin, have been approached by claim buyers for over a year. As potential bids increase, these companies are weighing the opportunity cost of capital and opting to sell early.  

2024-02-06Deep Dive

Binance Co-founder He Yi's Response to "RONIN Listing Info Leak" and Six Key Adjustments

On February 6th, Binance co-founder He Yi stated that there have been occasional heated discussions about the leakage of listing information on Binance in the past, often involving projects that have not yet been released. Its not uncommon for the community to excessively hype up to maintain momentum. However, after the announcement of the listing of RONIN today, the subsequent price drop sparked intense community discussions. An internal investigation revealed that the price drop was due to a previous incident involving the retrieval of tokens for users on the integrated public chain, which was detected by external parties as an on-chain aggregation. The community began discussing the listing of RONIN on Binance. After careful consideration, the following adjustments will be made on top of the existing listing process:  Internal adjustments at Binance: Team members involved in the listing process, including business, research, pre-IC, IC, development, operations, and announcements, will strengthen internal management and firewalls. If there is any leakage of information for any reason, a warning will be issued for the first occurrence, and termination will follow for the second.  External cooperation adjustments at Binance: Business communication with external partners often involves aspects such as project research information, token model communication, token

2024-02-06Deep Dive

Nasdaq Issues Delisting Notice to Bitcoin Mining Firm Bit Brother, Hearing Scheduled for February 27

Bit Brother Limited, a mining company listed on Nasdaq, has disclosed that it has received a delisting notice. According to the notice, Nasdaq made this decision primarily due to market concerns arising from certain warrants issued in two registered offerings by the company on October 25, 2023, and December 5, 2023, which included non-cash exercise terms, as well as concerns related to such transactions causing public interest issues. It is reported that this delisting notice will not immediately impact Bit Brother Limiteds listing and trading. Nasdaq has allowed the company to participate in a hearing on February 27 to provide explanations. Until the hearing process is completed, Nasdaq will continue to suspend any suspension or delisting actions.  

2024-02-05Deep Dive
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