WikiBit Crypto Market Weekly Outlook: BTC at a Crossroads — $85K Upside or $73K Downside?
1.Weekly Market Review: From “Dead Water” to a “Tsunami” Just 14 days ago, the entire market was still crying that “trading volume had fallen to the lowest level since 2019.” Then suddenly, Bitcoin exploded from $63,838 to $81,255. BTC gained 27% in 21 days, with a 20% surge in just three days — the strongest three-day rally since 2023. Ethereum was not left behind, rising more than 30% last week. The entire market instantly switched from a “ghost town atmosphere” to a “bull market celebration mode.” However, the party did not last long. After hitting $81,255, BTC quickly pulled back by $2,700, falling toward the $78,500 area. As of the Asian trading session on August 28, BTC was fluctuating around $79,800. The daily candlestick formed a typical long upper shadow, a textbook example of a sharp rally followed by a rejection.2.Why Did BTC Surge? Three Words: Short Squeeze! Short Squeeze! Short Squeeze! The main driver behind this rally was not retail FOMO. Instead, it was a combination of U.S. Treasury buyback operations and a forced liquidation cascade of approximately $4 billion in short positions. Short sellers watched helplessly as BTC climbed from $64K all the way to $81K. They were forced to close positions at higher prices, which in