Singapore Dollar: Strong NODX but USD still drives USD/SGD – OCBC
OCBC‘s Christopher Wong highlights that Singapore’s August NODX surged 46.2% year-on-year, far above consensus, with electronics exports jumping on AI-related demand and broad-based strength across markets. OCBC Economists upgraded their 2026 NODX forecast to 20% year-on-year, but Wong notes this solid external backdrop is unlikely to drive spot near term. USD/SGD has eased with lower US yields and a softer Dollar, and future SGD performance will hinge on US yield and Dollar dynamics. USD/SGD guided by yields and Dollar “August NODX jumped 46.2% y/y, well above the 35.3% consensus and up sharply from 24.1% in July. Electronics exports surged 131.8%, led by AI-related demand for ICs, disk media products and PCs, while non-electronics also rose.” Discover more Finance Deploy Cloud Servers Choose POS Systems “The strength was broad-based across most major markets, although a favourable base effect also contributed to the headline jump.” “Our Economists upgraded our 2026 NODX forecast from 15.2% to 20% y/y, taking into account that NODX already surged 22.4% y/y in the first 8 months and even after factoring a moderation to 15.6% YoY for the remaining four months of the year.” “The data reinforce an already solid external-growth backdrop but are unlikely to be the main driver of spot in the near term. Overnight,









