Ark Invest: BTC 16 Trillion Dollar Estimate in 2030

Bitcoin‘s market capitalization will rise to 16 trillion dollars by 2030; this prediction is featured in Ark Invest’s annual Big Ideas report and foresees a fundamental leap in the asset‘s price. From its current 1,6 trillion dollar value (at 78.428 USD price), more than a tenfold increase will occur at an annual compound %63 growth rate. The report emphasizes that this momentum stems from accelerating purchases by institutional investors sourced from BTC detailed analysis and the transformation of cryptocurrencies into a standard asset class in global portfolios. The fund company managed by Cathie Wood calculates that the entire digital asset market will also reach 28 trillion dollars in a decade under Bitcoin’s leadership. According to the calculations, even if all 21 million BTC are in circulation, a single Bitcoin will head towards 730.000 dollars.  Ark Invest Big Ideas Report: BTC 16 Trillion Dollar Target  Ark Invest‘s 2026 Big Ideas report deeply examines Bitcoin’s macroeconomic role. A 16 trillion dollar market cap with %63 CAGR is fueled by inflation protection and deflationary features. The report positions BTC as “digital gold”, emphasizing its competition with traditional reserve assets.  Cathie Woods BTC Vision and Past Predictions  Wood had pointed to the 300.000-1,5 million dollar range in January

05-02

SBI Group, Visa Launch Crypto Card With up to 10% BTC, ETH, XRP Promo Rewards

SBI and Visa launched credit cards that convert spending points into a user-selected ( , , or ).users can earn up to 10%, while standard users can receive up to 2.5% through a limited-time launch campaign.Campaign rewards depend on spending through Aug. 5, with point caps applied to both card tiers.  Rewards Cards Connect SBI Payments and Assets  SBI Group, one of Japans most prominent financial conglomerates, announced on May 1, 2026, that it has begun issuing the SBI Visa Card and its version, which automatically convert spending points into a user-selected asset from , , or . The cards are designed to link routine payments with accumulation.  Users must select one asset at the time of application, choosing from , , or . The announcement states, as translated from Japanese:  “When applying for this card, you can choose one to accumulate from three options: ( ), ethereum ( ), and .”  Once selected, points earned from card spending are automatically converted into the chosen asset on a monthly basis without exchange fees. Users must hold an account with SBIs asset service to receive rewards, though existing account holders do not need to open a new account. The structure keeps accumulation consistent and directly tied

05-02

MATIC Price Prediction: Brief Rally to $0.45 Before Drop to $0.30

Market Context: Why MATIC is Moving Now  Polygon‘s token burn mechanism and Open Money Stack launch drove the early 2026 rally, but the price action reveals underlying structural problems. Trading at $0.38, MATIC remains 45% below its 200-day moving average of $0.69, indicating deep technical damage that recent upgrades haven’t repaired. The Polygon 2.0 narrative sounds compelling, but the market has already factored in skepticism about execution.  The 33% pump lacks institutional backing when examining volume patterns. Daily volume of just $1.07 million on Binance points to retail speculation rather than smart money accumulation. Major holders arent participating in this bounce, which raises questions about sustainability.  Technical Analysis  Current indicators paint a mixed but ultimately bearish picture despite recent gains. The RSI reading of 38 sits in oversold territory without showing any bullish divergence against price action, meaning selling pressure hasnt dissipated. MACD histogram hovering near zero confirms that momentum has completely stalled after the brief rally attempt.  MATICs position relative to key moving averages tells the real story. Price trades below the 20-day moving average at $0.43, the 50-day at $0.45, and dramatically below the 200-day at $0.69. The Bollinger Band position of 0.29 places MATIC in the lower third of its recent range,

05-02

New ‘PACTs’ idea could help early Bitcoin holders prepare for a quantum future

A researcher at Paradigm has put forward a new idea that could help early Bitcoin holders prepare for a future quantum threat, without touching their coins or revealing who they are.  In a May 1 paper, Dan Robinson introduced “Provable Address-Control Timestamps,” or PACTs. The concept is to help prove you control your Bitcoin today, and keep that proof in reserve for a future when it might matter.  Robinson described it as a possible way of “letting Bitcoin holders protect themselves” without having to publicly move their coins.  At its core, PACTs are about timing.  A user creates a cryptographic proof showing they control a private key. That proof is then timestamped using Bitcoin‘s existing infrastructure. After that, it stays private and unused unless the day comes when it’s needed.  If Bitcoin ever shifts to quantum-resistant rules, those stored proofs could become a lifeline. Users could potentially present them through zero-knowledge methods to regain access to funds, even if older cryptography is no longer trusted.  What is PACTs different route?  The proposal comes as developers debate how Bitcoin should respond to advances in quantum computing.  One of the leading ideas, BIP-361 from Jameson Lopp, would give users time to move their funds into safer, quantum-resistant addresses. Eventually, older

05-02

Bitcoin Price Action Favors Bears But Profit Taking Overwhelms Each Rally

Bitcoin (BTC) traders pushed the price to $77,400, but data suggests profit-taking may thwart the bulls goal of turning the $77,000 to $80,000 zone into support.  Orderbook data from TRDR shows over $130 million in asks extending from $76,700 to $79,300.  Given Bitcoins negative futures funding rate and the small negative long-short delta (-$1.47 million at the time of writing), bulls have a slight edge in the short-term.  The situation could shift further in their favor if the BTC price pushes into short liquidity starting at $76,800, where there is a -$66.5 million to -$189 million negative delta, meaning short positions face a significantly higher risk of forced closure.  From a technical analysis perspective, the current price action saw Bitcoin lock in $75,000 as support through a , and it also traded back above the 20-day moving average ($76,067) after falling below it on Wednesday and Thursday.  In the short-term, the most desirable outcome for bulls would be a repeat of this weeks price action, where, in this case, BTC rallies through the channel trendline resistance at $79,000, followed by another SR-flip to .  Beyond the expected profit-taking kicking in at $77,000, a volume spike in either spot or perpetual futures markets is the missing ingredient

05-02

Fed’s Bowman flags rising AI risks to banks, calls for coordinated oversight

Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman urged regulators to work more closely together as artificial intelligence tools rapidly make their way into the banking system, warning that the same technology helping firms defend themselves could also be turned against them.  Speaking at a Financial Stability Oversight Council roundtable on cybersecurity and artificial intelligence, Bowman said regulators are still figuring out “how best to oversee” these fast-moving technologies as banks begin integrating them into core operations.  One example she pointed to was Mythos, an advanced system built by Anthropic that can scan software for vulnerabilities.  “Anthropics Mythos… shows the dynamic nature of this technology and how quickly its capabilities can develop.”  The concern, Bowman indicated, is straightforward but serious: tools that help banks find weaknesses in their systems could just as easily be used by attackers to exploit them.  Safer ways for banks to adopt AI  Behind the scenes, regulators are now wrestling with a practical question — whether existing rules are enough.  For years, banks have operated under model risk frameworks designed to keep quantitative systems in check. But AI, especially newer generative models, doesnt always behave in predictable ways. That makes it harder to test, monitor, and explain — all things regulators typically expect.  Officials

05-02

Tether Q1 2026 Report: $1.04B Profit and Record Reserves

Tether (USDT) released its audit report for the first quarter of 2026 on Friday and announced a net profit of $1.04 billion. This result strengthens the company‘s financial position while elevating its excess reserves to a record $8.23 billion. The report, prepared by the global independent accounting firm BDO, confirms Tether’s continued profitability, though it falls short of last years annual earnings exceeding $10 billion. The report provides a snapshot of reserves as of March 31 and does not constitute a full financial audit. The company has renewed market confidence with this data.  Tether Q1 2026 Financial Results and Market Impact  Tethers reserves are concentrated in short-term high-quality liquid instruments; as of March 31, with $141 billion exposure to US Treasury bonds, it entered the global top 20 holders and positioned itself alongside sovereign nations like Saudi Arabia and South Korea. The report also mentions limited asset classes like gold and bitcoin; these establish a conscious balance between liquidity and resilience. Total assets exceeded $191.7 billion, liabilities $183.5 billion; of which $183.4 billion corresponds to issued digital tokens.Excess Reserves: $8.23 billion (record level)US Treasury Bonds: $141 billion (global top 20)Circulating USDT: Stable throughout the quarter  Special investments made through Tether Investments are completely

05-02

Bitcoin miner Riot's shares jump 8% after expanding AMD data center deal, signaling AI pivot

Riot Platforms (RIOT) shares jumped about 8% on Friday after Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) expanded its capacity at the company‘s Rockdale, Texas campus, highlighting Riot’s continued pivot from bitcoin mining into AI and high-performance computing.  According to the Q1 financial results, AMD exercised an option to double its contracted capacity to 50 megawatts (MW), with the potential to upsize to 150MW. According to the earnings transcript, Riot said the agreement could generate roughly $636 million over a 10-year term.  Riot also secured improved terms on its $200 million bitcoin-backed credit facility with Coinbase, lowering the rate to a fixed 6.15% from 8.3% and releasing 1,544 of pledged collateral bitcoin, signaling growing lender confidence in its expanding data center business.  Together with the AMD deal and improved credit terms, investors are paying a premium for the stock. “Market pricing in lower cost of capital as the expanded AMD deal drives lender confidence,” said Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck.  Riot was one of the last few pure play mining companies left that didnt get into hosting AI computing, while others opened up their data centers to move away from mining. Until recently, activist investor Starboard started to urge the management to accelerate

05-02

RAY Technical Analysis May 1

RAY, with an impressive 10.44% rise in the last 24 hours, jumped to the $0.85 level, solidifying its short-term uptrend, while RSI approaching 76 indicates the overbought zone and puts the risk of a possible correction on the table.  Market Outlook and Current Situation  The RAY market is facing clear upward momentum on the daily timeframe. With the current price positioned at $0.85, the 24-hour range occurred between $0.75-$0.85, and volume stands at a supportive level of $4.10 million. This movement can be evaluated as part of the general altcoin rally; as RAY, reflecting the strong position of the Raydium protocol in the DeFi ecosystem, is regaining investor interest. While the uptrend continues, the price is comfortably tracking above EMA20 ($0.72), indicating that short-term bulls are in control.  However, the dynamics behind this rally should be carefully examined. Bitcoin‘s sideways movement across the market may limit such jumps in altcoins. RAY’s 10.44% gain over 24 hours raises sustainability questions due to relatively modest volume. Multi-timeframe confluence analysis reveals that 4 support and 4 resistance levels are strongly clustered on the 1D chart; on 3D and 1W timeframes, there is no clear participation yet, signaling that we are at a stage testing the depth

05-02

Crypto ETFs: Japans JPX Exchange To List Bitcoin & Other Altcoin ETFs

Spot Bitcoin ETFs flow data  Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of about $263.2 million on April 27, $89.7 million on April 28 and $137.6 million on April 29. The withdrawals were widespread among the key funds, which suggests a temporary dip in investor enthusiasm.  A similar pattern can be observed with Ethereum ETFs, albeit on a smaller scale. The net outflows were roughly $50.4 million on April 27, $21.8 million on April 28 and then $87.8 million on April 29.  These figures suggest that while institutional interest in crypto exposure is structurally sound, flows can be highly volatile in response to market events. On the contrary, altcoin ETFs like XRP ETF saw inflows of $81 million.  The outflows, while temporary, reflect volatility as JPX prepares to launch crypto ETFs. In the past, Japan has adopted a conservative stance on digital assets. Nonetheless, there has been a recent uptick in regulatory interest, as policymakers explore ways to bring crypto assets into traditional financial instruments.  Crypto ETFs, if approved on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, would be a game-changer for Asias markets. It would place Japan in the same camp as other global economies that have adopted regulated crypto investment vehicles.  Conclusion  Crypto news highlighted Japan Exchange Groups plans

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