کرپٹو گائیڈز، معلومات اور تجزیے

US payrolls rise just 29,000 in September, can Bitcoin price rally？

Bitcoin could get more room to recover after U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, well below forecasts, adding to expectations that the Federal Reserve may hold interest rates steady at its October meeting.　　According to Reuters, payrolls rose by 29,000 last month after Augusts gain was revised down to 133,000 from the 162,000 initially reported. Economists surveyed by the news agency had expected 90,000 new jobs. The unemployment rate edged up to 4.2% from 4.1%.　　The weak headline arrived at a sensitive point for Bitcoin. BTC had already climbed past $85,000 before the release as traders cut expectations for another immediate Fed rate hike, while short sellers closed positions during the move.　　Bitcoin was trading toward $86,000 in the hours leading up to the jobs report, leaving the market within reach of the $87,000 to $87,500 area that has repeatedly limited gains over the past two weeks.　　A weaker labor market could give the Fed another reason to wait after raising its benchmark rate by 25 basis points in September. For Bitcoin, the immediate question is whether lower rate expectations can pull Treasury yields down enough to ease some of the macro pressure that has repeatedly interrupted its recent rallies.　　Weak payrolls

10-02انڈسٹری

Circle wants EU to ease MiCA bank deposit rules for stablecoins

Circle has urged the European Commission to remove fixed bank deposit requirements for stablecoin reserves as the EU reviews its Markets in Crypto Assets regulation.　　SummaryCircle urged the European Commission to reconsider MiCA rules requiring stablecoin issuers to hold at least 30% of reserves in commercial bank deposits, rising to 60% for significant issuers.The USDC issuer backed replacing fixed deposit thresholds with liquidity requirements, aligning with a similar proposal from the European Central Bank.Circle argued mandatory deposits expose issuers to banking risks, pointing to its experience when $3.3 billion of USDC reserves became caught up in the Silicon Valley Bank collapse.The company wants the EU to preserve multi issuance arrangements that allow regulated entities inside and outside the bloc to jointly issue the same stablecoin.　　Circle said in its response to the Commissions MiCA consultation that forcing e money token issuers to keep a set portion of their reserves at commercial banks leaves them exposed to credit and counterparty risks in the banking system.　　Current rules require regular e money token issuers to keep at least 30% of their reserves in commercial bank deposits. For stablecoins classified as significant, the minimum rises to 60%.　　The USDC and EURC issuer backed replacing those thresholds with

10-02انڈسٹری

Cardanos DeFi has shrunk by more than half and RealFi is betting credit can revive it

Cardanos “bank the unbanked” push went live with RealFi, putting real-world credit behind a new dollar-token system.　　Related Asset Cardano #14 ADA · $0.25 24-hour change: up 3.03% Loading price history… 24H Up 3.03% 7D Down 0.73% 30D Up 28.49%　　On Oct. 1, RealFi launched USDrf and its yield-bearing counterpart, sUSDrf, on Cardano, moving a project Cardanos founder Charles Hoskinson has spent years describing as a bridge between blockchain finance and lending in emerging markets into production.　　Eligible retail users can acquire USDrf and stake it for sUSDrf, which offers variable returns generated from the underlying portfolio. Direct minting and redemption with the issuer are reserved for verified institutional partners, creating different exit rights depending on who holds the token.　　Hoskinson said in July that he had invested several million dollars in RealFi and that the team had serviced loans in Kenya and Uganda while building the platform largely outside public view. He described it as the first part of Cardanos effort to “bank the unbanked,” with returns generated from lending outside crypto markets rather than primarily through token incentives.　　Related Person Charles Hoskinson CEO · Input Output　　The launch also arrives at a consequential moment for Cardano. Its stablecoin base is expanding toward a record

10-02انڈسٹری

Blackrock Drives $103M Bitcoin ETF Rebound as BTC Price Tops $86K

Bitcoin ETFs returned to positive territory on Thursday with $102.67 million in net inflows, led by a powerful day for Blackrocks IBIT.　　Key TakeawaysBitcoin ETFs drew $102.67M on Thursday, led by Blackrocks IBIT with $195.57M. Some ETFs saw outflows.NEAR, XRP, and HYPE gained as ether, solana, and zcash funds saw more selective institutional demand.Friday will test if bitcoin inflows hold as ether and zcash redemptions deepen.　　Blackrock Inflow Offsets Fidelity Outflow　　Bitcoin wasted little time finding buyers again.　　A day after its nine-session inflow streak ended, U.S. bitcoin ETFs drew $102.67 million in fresh capital. Blackrocks IBIT carried the recovery with a $195.57 million inflow, more than enough to absorb significant withdrawals elsewhere.　　Grayscale‘s Bitcoin Mini Trust added $14.59 million, while Morgan Stanley’s MSBT brought in $7.04 million.　　Fidelity‘s FBTC led the exits with $60.73 million. Grayscale’s GBTC lost $31.39 million, while Ark & 21Shares‘ ARKB and Bitwise’s BITB shed $7.72 million and $6.89 million, respectively. Daily trading volume reached $1.97 billion, as net assets rose to $109.34 billion.　　The category has now attracted $2.99 billion over the past 30 days, providing a strong institutional backdrop as bitcoins price climbed above $86K.　　The week flipped back to green for bitcoin ETFs, with a $103M inflow. Source: SosovalueEther Weakness

10-02انڈسٹری

October FOMC Polymarket odds Favor Rate Hold

October FOMC Polymarket odds now point firmly to a pause. Traders price an 84% chance the Federal Reserve holds rates at its October meeting, against just 16% for a 25-basis-point hike.　　The shift followed New York Fed President John Williamss signal that another increase does not require immediate action. These are market-implied odds, not a Fed forecast, and Williams left the door open to a hike later in 2026.　　This is not simply a repricing of one meeting. It is a shift in the markets near-term policy expectation, while the possibility of further tightening later in the year remains in view.　　Put Your Money Where Your Mouth is On PolymarketWhat Are October FOMC Polymarket Odds Showing Now？　　October FOMC Polymarket Odds Polymarket　　The repricing has been fast. Hold odds jumped 35 percentage points in a day, while hike odds fell 33 points. Only a week ago, a hike led this market with about 67%.　　The contract has drawn nearly $23 million in volume and is set to resolve on October 28. All other outcomes sit near zero:25-basis-point cut: about 1%50+ basis-point hike: under 1%50+ basis-point cut: under 1%　　The result depends on the change to the upper bound of the federal funds target range after the October

10-02انڈسٹری

U.S. added just 29,000 jobs in September, with unemployment rate rising to 4.2%

SummaryThe U.S. added 29,000 jobs in September, missing forecasts for 90,000.The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.2%.Bitcoin continued about 2% higher for the day at $86,600.　　The U.S. labor market showed weakness in September, potentially giving the Federal Reserve room to hold interest rates even as inflation remains elevated.　　The U.S. added 29,000 jobs in September, according to the government‘s Nonfarm Payrolls Report released Friday morning. That was below the consensus forecast of 90,000 and compared with August’s gain of 133,000 (revised down from an originally reported 162,000).　　The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, versus expectations of 4.1% and Augusts reading of 4.1%.　　In addition to August‘s downward revision, July’s 21,000 jobs gain was revised to a jobs loss of 10,000.　　Already higher on the session, bitcoin continued just under $87,000 in the minutes following the release. U.S. stock index futures were adding to gains, the Nasdaq rising 1.2%.　　The 10-year Treasury yield slumped by 7 basis points to 5.17%, and the 2-year yield fell by a similar margin to 4.71%. Gold gained more than 1%, and the greenback fell versus major currencies.　　Checking other report numbers, average hourly earnings rose just 0.1% last month, well shy of forecasts for 0.3% and August‘s 0.3%. On a year-over-year

10-02انڈسٹری

'Uptober' Off With a Bang as Bitcoin Surges to $86K

In briefBitcoin traded at $86,757 Friday, up 3% on the day and 2% over the week.August core PCE came in at 3.0% against 3.3% expected, and futures now put a hold at the October FOMC at 74%, from 35.8% a week ago.Spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $6.34 billion in the third quarter, but net inflows for 2026 remain under $1 billion.　　Bitcoin was trading at $86,757 on Friday, up 3% over 24 hours and 2% on the week, according to CoinGecko data, after a September that broke the months losing reputation. It remains about 31% below the record it set a year ago.　　The move follows Wednesdays inflation reading. August core PCE came in at 3.0% against expectations of 3.3%, and the repricing that followed has swung the odds toward the Federal Reserve holding rates at its October 28 meeting. Futures put a hold at 74%, according to CMEs FedWatch tool, against 35.8% a week ago, and traders on Myriad, a prediction market owned by Decrypts parent company Dastan, price it at 75%. The shift came from an even split as recently as September 29, Nexo analyst Iliya Kalchev told Decrypt.　　BitcoinBTC · USD　　$85,156+1.69%　　24H7D1M1YYTD　　Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29Sep 30Oct 2　　$86.8k$85.4k$84.0k$82.7k　　24h HighHigh$87,086　　24h LowLow$84,068　　VolVol$1.9B　　Market projectionsOdds by

10-02انڈسٹری

US Savings Rate Hits a 2022 Low: Could Bitcoin Be a Hedge？

The United States personal savings rate dropped to 4.1% in August 2026, its lowest level since November 2022, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.　　That decline now raises a pointed question: can Bitcoin serve as a hedge against shrinking household buffers？　　Sponsored　　Sponsored　　What Does the Falling US Savings Rate Reveal About Household Finances？　　The personal savings rate measures the share of disposable income households set aside rather than spend. A falling rate signals families are draining reserves to maintain consumption levels.　　Augusts reading fell 0.5% from July. It has dropped 1.6 points since January 2025, based on Bureau of Economic Analysis data.　　Excluding the 2022 inflation shock, this marks the lowest level since 2008. The five-year average now sits at 5.4%, the weakest in 14 years. That compares with roughly 6% before the pandemic. Persistent inflation in housing, food, and energy continues to squeeze household budgets nationwide.　　Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens　　US Household Savings Fall to Their Lowest Level Since 2021.　　Spending remains relatively resilient for now, but that strength comes at a cost. Families increasingly rely on savings as their main cushion shrinks month after month.　　Sponsored　　Sponsored　　For most Americans, this level means less room to absorb a job loss, a

10-02انڈسٹری

Bitcoin survived 5% yields but cryptos cheap-money era did not

The US 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.34% on Oct. 1, its highest since 2002, capping a third quarter in which it climbed almost 90 basis points, the largest quarterly rise this century. Bitcoin gained about 43% over the same three months and Ethereum about 71%.　　Related Asset Bitcoin #1 BTC · $85,435.87 24-hour change: up 1.91% Loading price history… 24H Up 1.91% 7D Up 2.11% 30D Up 10.74%　　Bitcoin trades in the mid-$80,000s, and the clearest evidence of the yield shock sits in the financing built around it.　　A 5% yield raises the bar, and Q3 buyers cleared it　　The Federal Reserves H.15 release for Oct. 1 put the 10-year at 5.29%, the 30-year at 5.64% and the 10-year real yield at 2.93%. Inflation-adjusted returns on government debt now compete with a coupon-free asset.　　Bond yields climbed to new highs across the US, France, Germany, Japan and the UK, where 30-year borrowing costs reached 6% for the first time since 1998. Brent crude also moved back above $100 a barrel.　　Against that backdrop, US-traded spot Bitcoin ETFs drew about $6.3 billion in the third quarter and Ethereum ETFs about $3 billion.　　Citi raised its 12-month Bitcoin forecast to $113,000 from $82,000, citing stronger crypto activity, ETF inflows,

10-02انڈسٹری

Morning Minute: NEAR Intents Hacked for $3.8M - Was It A Bullish Hack？

Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. And check out our daily news show FOMO HOUR covering all of the top stories and market action.　　GM!　　Todays top news:Crypto majors rally 3-4% as oil and bonds cool; BTC at $86,400SEC proposes rules letting advisors and funds hold crypto directlyETH Foundation launches zkAPI for private AIPump leads onchain protocols again with $2.6MThe 7-Trait CryptoPunk sells for $5.9M in landmark sale on Gondi　　BitcoinBTC · USD　　$84,212+0.23%　　24H7D1M1YYTD　　Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1Oct 2　　$86.8k$85.4k$84.0k$82.7k　　24h HighHigh$87,086　　24h LowLow$84,473　　VolVol$2.2B　　Market projectionsOdds by Myriad　　This week$84,000 to $86,000$84k–$86k52% chance　　→　　Buy Bitcoin with USDT　　Powered by Jupiter　　$50$100$500　　Buy　　Price data by CoinGeckoCoinGeckoMore Bitcoin news and projections →　　???? NEAR Intents Hacked for $3.8M—Was It A Bullish Hack？　　NEAR Intents shut down briefly on Thursday after an attacker took about $3.8 million.　　The flaw sat in the layer that moves money in and out, and how it talked to the main contract holding user funds. ZachXBT traced the stolen money to KuCoin, where it was converted to bitcoin. The team reported it to law enforcement and says a full report is coming.　　If you arent familiar with Near Intents, the tool lets you swap crypto

10-02انڈسٹری

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